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Macquarie: Raise the forecast of USD/JPY to 140 JPY by the end of 2025 from 125 JPY.In November, the annual rate of M2 money supply in Japan was 1.2%, and the previous value was 1.20%. M3 annual rate is 0.7%.GOL Airlines of Brazil will submit a preliminary plan for debt restructuring in accordance with Chapter 11 of the US Bankruptcy Law.

Sources: The current Secretary-General of OPEC, Ghais, will be re-elected. Four representatives of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said that the organization will re-elect the current Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais for a three-year term at a virtual meeting on December 10th. A source said that the meeting will start at 18:30 Beijing time today and is expected to be short and only deal with administrative affairs.Galaxy Securities: Looking ahead, A-shares are expected to fluctuate upward. china galaxy Securities said that since September 24th, domestic policies have been intensively introduced. The convening of the Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party on December 9 pointed out the important direction for economic work in 2025, and at the same time released a more positive and promising policy signal, and then focused on the statement of the Central Economic Work Conference. With the accelerated implementation of the stock policy and the introduction of a package of incremental policies, the economic fundamentals are expected to show a gradual improvement trend. The policy expectation of "stabilizing the property market and stock market" will help boost investors' confidence and protect the long-term healthy development of the A-share market. Looking forward to the market outlook, A shares are expected to fluctuate upwards.The overall scale of bonus ETF exceeds 71.1 billion yuan, leading the products to exceed 20 billion yuan. As the largest dividend ETF at present, on December 6, the scale of Huatai Bairui bonus ETF rose to 20.121 billion yuan, becoming the first dividend ETF to exceed 20 billion yuan. According to the data, the product takes the dividend index of Shanghai Stock Exchange as the benchmark for performance comparison and adopts the investment strategy of complete replication method. As of December 9, the product had a floating profit of 18.21% during the year. According to the reporter's incomplete statistics, as of December 9, 13 bonus ETFs have been newly established this year (excluding QDII funds, Hong Kong Stock Connect and other overseas products). On the whole, there are 37 bonus ETF products with a market size of 71.185 billion yuan. In the current market environment, dividend investment strategy has strong appeal. (Securities Daily)

Five A-shares registered today, among which Longyan Group, Juyi Technology and China CITIC Bank have the strongest dividends. According to the statistics of the equity distribution plan of listed companies, five A-shares registered today. Among them, 5 shares are intended to pay dividends. In terms of dividends, date of record, where 5 stocks pay dividends, is December 10th. Longbai Group, Juyi Technology and China CITIC Bank have the strongest dividends, with dividends of 3 yuan, 2.2 yuan and 1.83 yuan for every 10 shares. In addition, there are 7 shares that have made dividend plans, among which Radio and Television Metrology, Cube Pharmaceutical and Hefei Hi-Tech have the strongest dividend plans, and every 10 shares will be distributed to 2.5 yuan, 2 yuan and 1 yuan respectively.CITIC Securities: The supply or trend of government bonds will increase, and the subsequent banking system will face certain undertaking pressure. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, the supply or trend of government bonds will increase in the medium and long term, and the subsequent banking system will face certain undertaking pressure. Under the logic of debt conversion, the continuous issuance of replacement special bonds will reduce the capital occupation of the banking system, but it will also increase the pressure of interest margin on the asset side, which may have a greater impact on small and medium-sized rural commercial banks. In addition, banks undertake a large number of medium and long-term interest-rate bonds or put pressure on their liquidity indicators, but at present, all indicators of state-owned banks have a high margin of safety, and we think the overall impact may be more controllable. At the beginning of next year, we can focus on the influence of small and medium-sized banks' bond buying behavior, or form a certain bullish support for long-term bond interest rates.Huaxi Securities: In 2025, the rate of RRR cut and interest rate cut may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp. Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that this Politburo meeting revisited "moderately loose monetary policy", and the market inevitably associated with the magnificent combination of monetary and fiscal policies in 2008-2010. Specific to this round of monetary policy, it may be similar to it, not only the tone has changed, but also the framework has changed from the previous cross-cycle (or both cross-cycle and counter-cycle) to counter-cycle adjustment, which is likely to point to an increase in the adjustment range of reserve ratio and policy interest rate. Looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp (the rate in 2024), and the possibility of further increasing the rate in the face of extreme circumstances is not ruled out. The specific degree and duration of easing may depend on the economic situation.